Market
Will Richard Grenell negotiate a peace agreement with Venezuela by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Richard Allen Grenell•Special Missions•Grenell•Germany•National Intelligence•Venezuela•North Korea•Trump•Peace through Strength•America First
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or Venezuelan government
Story
Trump Appoints Richard Grenell as Envoy for Venezuela and North Korea Missions
Dec 15, 2024, 12:16 AM
On December 14, 2024, President Donald Trump announced that Richard Allen Grenell will serve as the Presidential Envoy for Special Missions. Grenell, who previously served as U.S. Ambassador to Germany and acting Director of National Intelligence, will handle some of the world's most dangerous places, including Venezuela and North Korea. "Ric will serve in the hottest spots around the world, including Venezuela and North Korea," Trump said. Trump added that Grenell will continue to fight for "Peace through Strength" and always put America First.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Initial agreements only • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Formal agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Venezuelan Chief Prosecutor • 25%
Venezuelan President • 25%
Venezuelan Foreign Minister • 25%
Other key official • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
