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What will be the outcome of protests demanding President Yoon's resignation by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
President resigns • 25%
President remains • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or major news outlets
Story
South Korea Parliament Rejects Probe Into First Lady Amid Martial Law Protests, Impeachment Boycott
Dec 7, 2024, 10:08 AM
South Korea's parliament narrowly failed to pass a bill to investigate alleged scandals involving First Lady Kim Keon-hee, including her stock dealings. This development occurred amid heightened political tensions as lawmakers also began voting on a motion to impeach President Yoon Suk-yeol. The impeachment vote faced complications as the ruling People Power Party largely boycotted the proceedings, with only two members participating, resulting in a lack of quorum. Meanwhile, tens of thousands of protesters, including labor unions, gathered outside the National Assembly, with at least 150,000 demonstrators demanding President Yoon's resignation, following his controversial attempt to impose martial law earlier in the week. A ruling party lawmaker returned to vote during the proceedings.
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President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
New presidential election called • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol faces trial • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Subside • 25%
Protests Intensify • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Impeachment invalidated • 25%
Yoon arrested • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%