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What will be the outcome of Libya's diplomatic engagement with Syria by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security agreement • 25%
Energy cooperation • 25%
Both security and energy agreements • 25%
No major agreements • 25%
Official statements from Libyan and Syrian governments or credible news reports
Story
Libyan Delegation Led by Waleed Al-Laafi Arrives in Damascus on December 28 for First Official Visit Since Assad's Fall
Dec 28, 2024, 11:07 AM
A high-level delegation from Libya's National Unity Government, led by Minister of State for Communication and Political Affairs Waleed Al-Laafi, arrived in Damascus on December 28, 2024, marking the first official visit since the fall of the previous Syrian regime. The delegation included the Minister of Labor and Rehabilitation, Ali Al-Abed, and the Director of Military Intelligence. Upon arrival, they met with Ahmed Al-Sharaa, the head of the new Syrian administration, to discuss various aspects of cooperation, particularly in security and energy sectors. Al-Laafi expressed full support for the Syrian people and their new leadership during this transitional phase and announced plans to appoint a permanent ambassador to Syria. The visit is seen as a step towards strengthening bilateral relations between Libya and Syria.
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Military cooperation • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Further isolated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Iran maintains current stance • 25%
Iran increases presence • 25%
Iran reduces presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant progress • 25%
Successful political transition • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Weakened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
No progress • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%