Market
What will be the outcome of Israel's lobbying for Houthi terrorist designation by end of 2025?
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Europe•United Kingdom•Yemen•Houthis•Israel•United States•Saudi Arabia•Malaysia•United Arab Emirates•Australia•Canada•New Zealand•European•European Union
Resolution / Starting Odds
Both EU and UK designate • 25%
Only EU designates • 25%
Only UK designates • 25%
Neither designates • 25%
Official announcements from the EU, UK, and Israeli government or credible news outlets
Story
Gideon Sa’ar Directs Israel to Lobby EU and UK for Houthi Terrorist Designation After Multiple Attacks on Israel
Dec 24, 2024, 09:50 AM
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar has directed the country’s diplomatic missions in Europe and the United Kingdom to advocate for the designation of the Iran-backed Houthi group in Yemen as a terrorist organization. This initiative follows a series of attacks by the Houthis, who have targeted Israel multiple times in recent weeks. Sa’ar emphasized that the Houthis pose a threat not only to Israel but also to the broader region and the international community. The Houthis are already classified as a terrorist organization by several countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and Israel. Israel is now seeking to expand this designation to include European nations, particularly the European Union and the United Kingdom, which have not yet classified the group as such.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Redesignated as FTO • 25%
Redesignation process initiated but not completed • 25%
Not redesignated • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
1-2 countries change classification • 25%
More than 5 countries change classification • 25%
No countries change classification • 25%
3-5 countries change classification • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Capture of key leaders • 25%
Assassination of key leaders • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%