Market
What will be the outcome of Israeli military actions against the Houthis by December 31, 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Iran•Houthis•Yemen•Netanyahu•Tel Aviv•Israelis•United States•Palestinians•Hamas•US•Houthi•Sanaa•Hezbollah•Lebanon•Syrian army
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from the Israeli government, international news agencies, and military analysts
Story
Netanyahu Vows Forceful Action Against Iran-Backed Houthis After Missile Strike on Tel Aviv
Dec 22, 2024, 04:03 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared that Israel will act forcefully against the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, likening the approach to its actions against other terrorist arms of Iran's axis of evil. Netanyahu's statement comes a day after a missile fired from Yemen struck the Tel Aviv area, causing mild injuries. He emphasized that Israel's response to the Houthis would be similar to its actions against other terror organizations, and called on Israelis to remain patient and resilient. Netanyahu also noted that the United States and other countries view the Houthis as a threat to international shipping and the global order. The Houthis have been launching attacks on international shipping in waters near Yemen since November 2023 in support of the Palestinians amidst Israel's ongoing conflict with Hamas. Additionally, the US military conducted precision airstrikes against Houthi missile storage and command-and-control facilities in Yemen's capital, Sanaa, while Israeli jets have launched strikes against energy and port infrastructure in Yemen. Netanyahu highlighted Israel's strengthened position at home due to its military campaigns against Iran-backed Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon and the destruction of most of the Syrian army's strategic weapons.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
No military action • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
No significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Limited airstrikes • 25%
Full-scale military operation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Military strike conducted • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Increased sanctions imposed • 25%