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What will be the outcome of Israel's campaign against the Houthis by December 31, 2025?
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Israel•Houthis•Yemen•United States•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israeli military•Israeli army•Houthi•Ben Gurion Airport
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Reports from Israeli government and international news agencies
Story
Israel Targets Houthi Leaders in Yemen, Plans Long-Term Campaign Lasting Weeks with US Support
Dec 29, 2024, 07:37 AM
Israel is preparing to escalate its military operations against the Houthis in Yemen, targeting the group's leaders with the support of the United States. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the fight against the Houthis 'is only getting started,' signaling a long-term campaign. The Israeli military is enhancing intelligence gathering in Yemen, increasing attacks, and expanding cooperation with the U.S. The campaign is expected to last for weeks, with the Israeli army planning extensive offensive actions to severely impact Houthi leadership. Israeli intelligence has begun building a target bank against the Houthis with the help of other countries, and operations are anticipated to be longer than previously imagined, according to Israeli army leaders. A security source indicated that the Houthis are not expected to stop attacking Israel. Israeli officials are also concerned about potential consequences, such as disruptions at Ben Gurion Airport and increased missile launches from Yemen.
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Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
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No significant impact • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial military success • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
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Houthi military victory • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
No significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
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Continued Conflict • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
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Operation called off • 25%
Increased sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Military strike conducted • 25%