Market
What will be the outcome of Israel's military campaign against Houthi leadership by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Analysis from international defense analysts and news agencies
Story
Israel Escalates Military Actions Against Houthi Leadership in Yemen Following Houthi Missile Attacks
Dec 25, 2024, 02:33 AM
Israel has announced plans to escalate military actions against Houthi leaders in Yemen following a series of missile attacks targeting Israeli territory. The Israeli government stated that it will aim to eliminate Houthi leadership, similar to its previous actions against groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah. This decision comes in response to ongoing missile strikes from the Houthis, which have intensified in recent weeks, prompting Israeli officials to declare that the threat must be addressed decisively. The Israeli Air Force and intelligence services are expected to focus on leadership targets within both Yemen and Iran, as officials emphasize the need to counter the Houthi threat effectively. This escalation marks a significant shift in Israel's military strategy in the region, as it seeks to mitigate the risks posed by Houthi missile capabilities and their connections to Iran.
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Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
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Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
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Partial success • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No military action • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
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Partial military success • 25%
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Houthi military victory • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
Partial destruction • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
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Assassination of key leaders • 25%
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Capture of key leaders • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
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Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%