Market
What will be the outcome of Israeli military campaign against Houthis by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news agencies
Story
Israel Prepares Prolonged Military Campaign Against Houthis, Building Intelligence Target Bank Under Netanyahu's Strategy
Dec 29, 2024, 04:32 AM
Israeli military operations against the Houthi movement are expected to be prolonged, according to reports from the Walla website citing Israeli army leaders. The Israeli intelligence has begun to develop a target bank against the Houthis, with assistance from other countries. A security source indicated that the Houthis are unlikely to cease their attacks on Israel. The Israeli government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is preparing for a broader military campaign focused on neutralizing the Houthi threat, which is seen as a precursor to addressing the Iranian challenge. Israeli officials believe that weakening the Houthis will diminish Iran's capacity to engage in conflict. The military strategy includes targeting Houthi commanders, as their locations are often concealed in caves, complicating identification efforts.
View original story
Similar markets
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
No military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
No significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Partial military success • 25%
Houthi military victory • 25%
Limited airstrikes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Full-scale military operation • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
Partial destruction • 25%
Operation called off • 25%