Market
What will be the outcome of Israel's control over the buffer zone by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel withdraws • 25%
Israel remains with international agreement • 25%
Israel remains without international agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from the United Nations or official Israeli government announcements
Story
Netanyahu Tells Sullivan Israel to Control Buffer Zone with Syria Temporarily Under 1974 Agreement on December 12, 2024
Dec 12, 2024, 03:03 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan in Jerusalem on December 12, 2024, to discuss Israel's security measures in the buffer zone with Syria. During the meeting, Netanyahu emphasized that Israel will maintain control over the area until a force is established that complies with the 1974 agreement aimed at ensuring security along the borders. He stated that Israel would take any necessary actions to protect its security against threats from Syria, particularly in light of recent developments following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. Sullivan acknowledged Israel's actions as efforts to identify and neutralize threats, and confirmed ongoing consultations with both Israel and Turkey regarding the situation in Syria. He expressed expectations that Israel's presence in the buffer zone would be temporary.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Expanded by Israel • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Maintained as is • 25%
Reduced by international pressure • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supportive stance • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Partially occupied by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Fully demilitarized • 25%
