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What will be the outcome of hostage liberation efforts in Gaza by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages liberated • 25%
Some hostages liberated • 25%
No hostages liberated • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Official statements from Israeli government or international bodies
Story
Israel to Maintain Security Control Over Gaza, Exclude Hamas, and Establish Buffer Zones
Dec 25, 2024, 01:58 PM
Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has announced that the Israeli military will maintain security control over Gaza, with plans to establish buffer zones and control positions within the region. This statement was made during a visit to the Philadelphi Corridor, emphasizing that the control will remain in the hands of the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and that Hamas will be excluded from governance. Katz also mentioned the ongoing efforts to liberate hostages and defeat Hamas, indicating a continued military operation aimed at ensuring no future threats from tunnels or other terrorist infrastructures.
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Hostage deal reached • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Hostages released without a formal deal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages harmed or neutralized • 25%
Hostages successfully rescued • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages remain in captivity • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 34%
Hostages released • 33%
No agreement reached • 33%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostage situation unresolved • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Hostage death toll increases • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Hostage Release without Ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire with Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Ceasefire and hostage release successful • 25%
Neither successful • 25%
Successful ceasefire and all hostages released • 25%
Partial agreement with some hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Partial release • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Hostages released • 25%