Market
Will a military conflict involving Iran occur by the end of 2025?
3
International Atomic Energy Agency•IAEA•Rafael Grossi•Davos•Iran•Donald Trump•Middle East•Grossi•Trump•European powers
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major news outlets such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
IAEA's Rafael Grossi Urges Iran for Nuclear Understanding with Trump at Davos Amid Uranium Concerns
Jan 21, 2025, 11:28 AM
The Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, speaking in Davos, has urged Iran to reach a nuclear understanding with the administration of Donald Trump to prevent another military conflict in the Middle East. Grossi emphasized the necessity of an agreement, referencing the previous nuclear deal from which the U.S. withdrew under Trump's first term. He highlighted Iran's continued production of highly enriched uranium and stressed the indispensable role of the U.S. in resolving the issue. Grossi's comments come amid escalating tensions and increased scrutiny from European powers on Iran's nuclear activities.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Resolution through diplomacy • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
De-escalation without resolution • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Both countries engage in conflict • 25%
Israel conducts airstrikes on Iran • 25%
No military action occurs • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
