Market
What will be the next major US policy change regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict by end of 2025?
2
White House•Donald Trump•Israeli•Naama Levy•Daniella Gilboa•Karina Ariev•Liri Albag•Hamas•Gaza•Nahal Oz•Red Cross•Gaza City•Palestine Square•Israel•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military support to Israel • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Imposition of sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or US State Department, credible news outlets
Story
Trump Secures Release of Naama Levy, Daniella Gilboa, Karina Ariev, and Liri Albag After 477 Days in Hamas Captivity
Jan 25, 2025, 04:01 PM
The White House announced that President Donald Trump has successfully secured the release of four more Israeli hostages, Naama Levy, Daniella Gilboa, Karina Ariev, and Liri Albag, who were held by Hamas in Gaza under horrific conditions for 477 days. The hostages were abducted during the October 7, 2023 attack on the Nahal Oz military base. They were handed over to the Red Cross in Gaza City's Palestine Square before being transferred to Israeli forces and subsequently reunited with their families in Israel. The United States, in collaboration with its partner Israel, has pledged to continue efforts to secure the release of all remaining hostages, including a fifth woman soldier still in captivity, and to work towards peace in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased support for Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Severed • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Direct negotiation • 25%
Military support • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Mediation • 25%
Peace Talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostage Exchange • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Sanctions on Gaza entities • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Policy shift by Hamas • 25%
Policy shift by Israel • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Diplomatic efforts for peace talks • 25%
Reinstatement of sanctions • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Comprehensive peace talks • 25%
Ceasefire extension • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Status quo • 25%
One-state solution • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire without solution • 25%
Two-state solution • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Stable peace • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Continued ceasefire • 25%