Market
What will be the nature of U.S. involvement in the Israel-Hamas situation by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Direct negotiation • 25%
Mediation • 25%
Military support • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Statements from the U.S. government or credible news reports detailing U.S. involvement
Story
Netanyahu Thanks Trump for Strong Statement on Gaza Hostages, Warns of 'All Hell to Pay' Ahead of January 20, 2025
Dec 3, 2024, 02:58 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly thanked U.S. President-elect Donald Trump for his strong statement demanding the release of hostages held by Hamas in the Gaza Strip. During a cabinet meeting, Netanyahu expressed appreciation for Trump's tough ultimatum, emphasizing that it adds significant support to Israel's ongoing efforts to secure the hostages' release. Trump's statement included a warning that there would be 'all hell to pay in the Middle East' if the hostages were not freed. This exchange highlights the ongoing diplomatic engagement between Israel and the incoming U.S. administration ahead of Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025.
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Similar markets
Direct negotiator • 25%
Mediator • 25%
No role • 25%
Observer • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Severed • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
High involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Moderate involvement • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased aid to Palestine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Active mediation role • 25%
Limited involvement • 25%
Support for Israel's position • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
US-led negotiations • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Partial defeat with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hostage deal reached, no military action • 25%
No significant military action taken • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%