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What will be the level of international involvement in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
High involvement • 25%
Moderate involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Reports from international bodies such as the UN or credible news agencies
Story
Israel and Hamas Near Ceasefire Deal to Free 33 Hostages, Biden Says
Jan 13, 2025, 07:58 PM
Ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas are in advanced stages, potentially leading to the release of up to 33 hostages, according to Israeli officials. U.S. President Joe Biden announced that a Gaza deal is 'on the brink' of coming to fruition, referring to a proposal he laid out months ago. 'We're pressing hard to close this deal,' Biden said, emphasizing the urgency to halt the fighting, secure Israel's security, and significantly increase humanitarian assistance to Gaza. He acknowledged that the people of Gaza have 'lived through hell' and stressed that Palestinians need peace. Multiple sources indicate that an agreement is close to being finalized.
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UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
US-led negotiations • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Largely indifferent • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed responses from international community • 25%
No significant response from the UN • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the ceasefire • 25%
UN issues a resolution supporting the ceasefire • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Positive response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Mixed response • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Mediators withdraw • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
UN-led intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
US issues critical response • 25%
UN supports and praises agreement • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
EU supports but with caution • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
Widespread support • 25%