Market
What will be the international response to the Israel-Hamas situation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased aid to Palestine • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Statements from the UN, EU, or major world powers (USA, Russia, China)
Story
British-Israeli Hostage Emily Damari Freed by Hamas After 471 Days in Kibbutz Kfar Aza
Jan 20, 2025, 09:22 AM
British-Israeli citizen Emily Damari, aged 28, was released by Hamas on Sunday after 471 days in captivity. She was among the first three hostages freed as part of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas. Damari, who was kidnapped from her home in Kibbutz Kfar Aza on October 7, 2023, sustained injuries during her abduction, losing two fingers to gunfire. Upon her release, she expressed immense joy at being reunited with her family, particularly her mother Mandy Damari, who had campaigned for her daughter's freedom. Emily's mother stated that Emily is in much better health than anticipated and highlighted her daughter's resilience and charismatic personality. Emily herself shared her happiness on social media, stating she has 'returned to her beloved life.' The ceasefire deal also facilitated the release of 90 Palestinian prisoners. However, 94 hostages remain in captivity, and efforts are ongoing to extend the ceasefire to secure their release.
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No significant action • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
UN sanctions against Hamas • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Support from major powers • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Other response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support for Israeli actions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the ceasefire • 25%
Mixed responses from international community • 25%
No significant response from the UN • 25%
UN issues a resolution supporting the ceasefire • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Largely indifferent • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Mixed response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant response • 25%