Market
What will be the most significant impact of Steve Witkoff's involvement in the Middle East peace process by July 2025?
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Steve Witkoff•Donald Trump•Middle East•Gaza Strip•Israel•Hamas•Witkoff•Trump•Palestinians•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Jewish Sabbath
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sustained ceasefire • 25%
Hostage release • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from international political analysts and major news outlets
Story
Trump's Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff to Visit Gaza to Maintain Ceasefire and Hostages Release
Jan 19, 2025, 12:18 AM
Steve Witkoff, President-elect Donald Trump's envoy to the Middle East, is considering a visit to the Gaza Strip as part of his efforts to maintain a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas. Witkoff, a billionaire Jewish-American real estate developer and a close friend of Trump, played a key role in negotiating the ceasefire, which is set to begin on Sunday. The agreement aims to facilitate the release of hostages held by Hamas and Palestinians detained by Israel over a six-week period. Witkoff's approach has been noted for its directness, as he reportedly pressured Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to finalize the deal, even on the Jewish Sabbath. His involvement underscores the fragile nature of the ceasefire, with plans to be a near-constant presence in the region to address any issues that could jeopardize the agreement.
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Similar markets
Role eliminated • 25%
Continues as special envoy • 25%
Reassigned to a different role • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostages released • 25%
Neither achieved • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Other diplomatic goals • 25%
Hostage release • 25%
Key mediator • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Minor role • 25%
Supportive role • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increases tensions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to further peace agreements • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
