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Ceasefire agreement in Gaza brokered by Steve Witkoff before Jan 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments of Israel, Qatar, or Hamas; major international news outlets
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Trump Envoy Steve Witkoff Meets Qatari, Israeli Leaders for Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Release
Dec 4, 2024, 09:14 PM
Donald Trump's incoming Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, has met with the Prime Ministers of Qatar and Israel in an effort to broker a ceasefire deal in Gaza before Trump's inauguration in January. According to sources briefed on the talks, Qatar has resumed its role as a key mediator in the Gaza conflict, with expectations that the Hamas negotiating team will return to Doha to facilitate further discussions. This diplomatic push also aims to secure the release of hostages.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minor role • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Key mediator • 25%
Supportive role • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
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United Nations • 25%