Market
Will Tren de Aragua be dismantled by US authorities within the first 100 days of Trump's presidency?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the US Department of Homeland Security or major news outlets
Story
Trump's Border Czar Warns Tren de Aragua (TdA): 'Your Days Are Numbered' on January 20th
Dec 22, 2024, 05:30 PM
Incoming border czar Tom Homan has issued a stern warning to the violent Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua, known as 'TdA,' stating that their 'days are numbered' under the incoming Trump administration. Speaking at Turning Point USA's 'AmericaFest' 2024, Homan emphasized that Tren de Aragua is a top priority for deportation, with the gang being 'number one on the list,' followed closely by MS-13. Homan's remarks underscore the Trump administration's intention to aggressively target and dismantle these criminal organizations upon taking office on January 20th.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Gang dismantled • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Arrests made • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Prevented entry • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Partially entered • 25%
Successfully entered • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in gang activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in gang activity • 25%
Significant reduction in gang activity • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Texas • 25%
Other • 25%
Colorado • 25%
Florida • 25%
Smuggling • 25%
Armed assault • 25%
Bribery • 25%
Other • 25%
