Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's actions against MS-13 and Tren De Aragua by end of 2024?
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Donald Trump•Tom Homan•Border Czar•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•Customs and Border Protection•CBP•Homan•Tren De Aragua•Stephen Miller•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in gang activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in gang activity • 25%
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Increase in gang activity • 25%
Reports from DOJ, ICE, CBP, or reputable news sources detailing actions taken and results
Story
Trump Appoints Tom Homan as Border Czar to Lead Mass Deportations, Targeting Tren De Aragua and MS-13
Dec 8, 2024, 04:20 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced key appointments to lead his immigration and border security agenda, selecting Tom Homan as the incoming Border Czar and other hardline allies to head Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP). Homan has pledged to focus on mass deportations and stricter enforcement, targeting sanctuary cities and criminal illegal aliens. He has emphasized the use of executive actions starting on January 20, including deploying teams to locate and detain individuals released by sanctuary cities. Homan also identified gangs such as Tren De Aragua and MS-13 as top priorities. Additionally, Stephen Miller, a senior Trump advisor, stated that border security and deportations will be immediate priorities for the administration, with a series of executive orders planned for the first day in office.
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Order blocked by courts • 25%
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