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What will be the major geopolitical shift in the Middle East involving Syria by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased US involvement • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Iranian dominance • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international relations experts and credible news agencies
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Putin: Russia Evacuates 4,000 Iranian Fighters from Khmeimim Base to Tehran, Claims No Defeat in Syria
Dec 19, 2024, 12:11 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia has evacuated 4,000 Iranian fighters from Syria to Tehran, asserting that the country has not been defeated in the region. During a press conference, Putin emphasized that Russia achieved its strategic goals in Syria, particularly in preventing the emergence of a terrorist enclave. He stated that the evacuation was conducted at the request of Iran, following the withdrawal of pro-Iranian units and government troops without resistance. Putin also remarked on the changing dynamics in Syria, identifying Israel as the main beneficiary of the current situation, and expressed hope that Israel would eventually withdraw its forces from Syrian territory.
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Increased Western influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Constitutional reforms • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Aligns with Russia • 25%
Aligns with the West • 25%
Maintains neutrality • 25%
Aligns with regional powers • 25%
Aligns with USA • 25%
Maintains neutrality • 25%
Aligns with EU • 25%
Aligns with Russia • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased government control • 25%
Increased opposition control • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Increased tensions with Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Iran-Syria alliance weakens • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Russian-backed Forces • 25%
Independent Syrian Government • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened Russia-Syria ties • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthened Israel-US ties • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Mediation role • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%