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What will be the major geopolitical event affecting EU's financial aid to Ukraine in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russian military actions • 25%
Internal EU political changes • 25%
Ukraine's domestic reforms • 25%
Other geopolitical developments • 25%
International news agencies and EU official statements
Story
EU Approves €4.2 Billion Tranche for Ukraine Under Ukraine Facility
Dec 9, 2024, 12:52 PM
The European Union has approved a €4.2 billion tranche for Ukraine under the Ukraine Facility, marking the second regular payment of grants and loans aimed at supporting the country's economy. This financial assistance is part of a broader initiative by the EU to aid Ukraine, with the total assistance under this program reaching €16 billion this year. The payment is conditional upon Ukraine meeting certain reform indicators, as confirmed by First Deputy Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko, who emphasized the country's commitment to implementing crucial reforms on its path to EU integration. This latest tranche comes amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, with the EU's financial support intended to bolster Ukraine's resilience against external pressures.
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Improved US-Europe relations • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Strengthened Ukraine defense • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Reduced support for Ukraine • 25%
Stronger support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Maintain current support level • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Military deployment • 25%
Military strengthening • 25%
Other uses • 25%
Infrastructure development • 25%
Economic stabilization • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
World Bank • 25%
Other countries/institutions • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Decreases • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
NATO Summit • 25%
UN Assembly • 25%
Other • 25%
EU Conference • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%