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What will be the leadership status in Venezuela by end of 2025?
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Canada•Edmundo González Urrutia•Venezuela•Venezuelan•Canadian•Affairs•Mélanie Joly•Donald Trump•González Urrutia•Trump•Truth Social•Maria Corina Machado•Nicolás Maduro•Venezuelans•Maduro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan government or credible news reports
Story
Canada and Trump Recognize Edmundo González as Venezuela's President-elect Amid Protests and Detention of Opposition Leader
Jan 9, 2025, 11:09 PM
Canada has officially recognized Edmundo González Urrutia as the President-elect of Venezuela, reaffirming its support for the Venezuelan opposition. The Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mélanie Joly, confirmed the recognition following Venezuela's presidential elections held on July 28. Meanwhile, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump also recognized González Urrutia as Venezuela's President-elect, emphasizing that the Venezuelan-American community overwhelmingly supports a free Venezuela. Trump's statements on Truth Social came after the brief detention and subsequent release of opposition leader and democracy activist Maria Corina Machado on January 9, 2025, by forces loyal to President Nicolás Maduro. Trump warned that these "freedom fighters should not be harmed and must stay safe and alive", expressing support for the hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans demonstrating against the Maduro regime. Edmundo González Urrutia expressed gratitude to Trump for his support, acknowledging the U.S. backing for their cause.
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Military or interim government • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains • 25%
Another opposition leader takes over • 25%
Edmundo González takes over • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Edmundo González becomes President • 25%
Military takeover • 25%
Another opposition leader becomes President • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro replaced by ally • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Nicolas Maduro • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia • 25%
Another opposition leader • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro ousted through international intervention • 25%
Maduro ousted through internal uprising • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%