Market
What will be the international response to the Finland-Sweden cable damage by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Joint EU investigation • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from EU or Nordic cooperation bodies
Story
Finland-Sweden Internet Cable Damage Leaves 6,000 Without Service; Authorities Deny Sabotage
Dec 3, 2024, 08:06 AM
An internet cable connecting Finland and Sweden was found damaged in two locations on land in Finland on December 3, 2024. The Finnish cable company Global Connect announced that its services were disrupted due to the cable breaks, significantly reducing internet capacity between the two countries and leaving approximately 6,000 households without communications. While initial reports suggested that Finnish police were investigating the incident as possible sabotage, authorities later denied this, stating that the cables may have been accidentally severed during digging activities. Swedish authorities were informed and are monitoring the situation.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
State Actor • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Not resolved • 25%
Partially resolved • 25%
Fully resolved • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Improved cable protection measures • 25%
Repair of existing cables • 25%
Combination of methods • 25%
Temporary alternative solutions • 25%
Installation of new cables • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No conclusive cause • 25%
Vessel involvement confirmed • 25%
Technical fault confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%