Market
What will be the impact on TikTok's user base in the US three months post-decision?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in users • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
User statistics released by TikTok or independent market research reports
Story
Trump to Decide TikTok's Fate Following Congress's Delegation, Decision Imminent
Jan 17, 2025, 03:58 PM
Former President Donald Trump stated in a CNN interview that the decision regarding the future of the social media platform TikTok will be his to make. He did not disclose what his decision would be, but emphasized that the authority to decide has been given to him by Congress. Trump indicated that a decision on TikTok's fate would be forthcoming.
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Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate decrease (25-50%) • 25%
Minor decrease (<25%) • 25%
Significant decrease (>50%) • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by less than 20% • 25%
Decrease by 20-50% • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%