Market
What will be the impact on TikTok's U.S. user base by February 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
User base increases • 25%
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Platform inaccessible • 25%
Reports from TikTok or market research firms on user activity
Story
Kevin O'Leary Offers $20 Billion to Buy TikTok's U.S. Operations from ByteDance Before Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 11:07 PM
Kevin O'Leary, known from 'Shark Tank,' has offered $20 billion in cash to purchase TikTok's U.S. operations from ByteDance. This bid comes as the Supreme Court upheld a federal law that would ban TikTok unless it is sold to a non-Chinese entity by January 19. O'Leary's proposal aims to keep the platform operational for its 170 million U.S. users, amid concerns over national security and data privacy. He has expressed readiness to work with ByteDance to finalize the deal before the looming deadline.
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Data not available • 25%
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User base stable • 25%
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Platform banned • 25%
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TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
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Moderate decrease (25-50%) • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
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150-170 million • 25%
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No Change • 25%
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User base increases • 25%
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TikTok banned • 25%
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Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
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