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What will be the impact on regional security by December 31, 2025, due to the North Korea-Russia defense pact?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military tensions in the region • 25%
No significant change in regional security • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations in the region • 25%
Escalation leading to a military conflict • 25%
Reports from international security agencies or credible media analysis
Story
North Korea-Russia Defense Pact Signed by Kim and Putin in June Now in Force
Dec 4, 2024, 10:27 PM
North Korea and Russia have officially activated a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty, which includes a defense pact signed by Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin in June. The agreement has entered into force following the exchange of ratification documents between the two nations, as reported by North Korea's state media KCNA. This treaty marks a significant development in the relationship between Pyongyang and Moscow, potentially influencing regional security dynamics amidst ongoing tensions involving Russia's conflict in Ukraine.
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Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
Strengthened alliances in Asia • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other geopolitical shifts • 25%
Increased tensions in East Asia • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant geopolitical changes • 25%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased regional tension • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Increased global scrutiny • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
No significant military developments • 25%
Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%