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What will be the outcome of Russia-North Korea military cooperation by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official government statements
Story
Russia Trades MiG-29, Su-27 Jets to North Korea for Troops in Ukraine
Dec 10, 2024, 10:04 AM
The United States has disclosed that Russia has agreed to trade MiG-29 and Su-27 fighter jets to North Korea in exchange for North Korean troops to assist in Moscow's ongoing invasion of Ukraine. According to Adm. Samuel Paparo, commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, this deal signifies a deepening military cooperation between Russia and North Korea. North Korean troops are currently stationed in the Kursk region of Russia, ready to engage in hostilities against Ukraine at any time, as stated by Sabrina Singh, a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Defense.
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No significant military developments • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased regional tension • 25%
Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Increased global scrutiny • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Deployment of more troops • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Arms trade agreement • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic aid from Russia • 25%
Weapon modernization • 25%
Battlefield experience • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
No significant change • 25%