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What will be the impact of the Russia-North Korea treaty on global geopolitics by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions in East Asia • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
No significant geopolitical changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Analysis from credible geopolitical analysts or reports from international relations think tanks
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Russia-North Korea Strategic Partnership Treaty, Including Military Cooperation, Enters into Force
Dec 4, 2024, 11:35 PM
A comprehensive strategic partnership treaty between Russia and North Korea, signed by leaders Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un in June, has officially come into force. The agreement, which includes provisions for military cooperation, was activated after both nations exchanged ratification documents. This development marks a significant enhancement in the diplomatic and military ties between the two countries, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Russia's conflict in Ukraine. The treaty's implementation is seen as a move to deepen military cooperation, with North Korea potentially providing support to Russia in its military endeavors.
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Strengthened alliances in Asia • 25%
Other geopolitical shifts • 25%
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
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Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Other • 25%
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Escalation leading to a military conflict • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations in the region • 25%
Increased military tensions in the region • 25%
No significant change in regional security • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
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Moderate impact on conflict • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Improved relations with Russia • 25%
Deteriorated relations with South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations with China • 25%
China supports the pact • 25%
South Korea increases military readiness • 25%
Japan strengthens its defense measures • 25%
United States issues new sanctions • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Regime change • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Russia opposes North Korea • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
