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What changes will occur in military cooperation between North Korea and Russia by December 31, 2025?
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South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•North Korean•Russia•Ukraine•South Korean•Kursk•Pyongyang•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Kyiv•Russian•Moscow
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Reports from international intelligence agencies or news outlets
Story
Seoul Reports 300 North Korean Soldiers Killed, 2,700 Wounded in Ukraine Fighting
Jan 13, 2025, 06:02 AM
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) has reported that approximately 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed and 2,700 wounded while fighting in Russia's war against Ukraine. According to South Korean lawmakers briefed by the NIS, North Korean troops have been deployed to support Russia's military efforts, particularly in the Kursk region of western Russia, where they have participated in large-scale attacks. The NIS also indicated that Pyongyang has instructed its soldiers to avoid capture by any means, including committing suicide. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv has captured two North Korean soldiers, releasing video of the injured combatants. Additionally, a diary recovered from a deceased North Korean soldier reportedly reveals that Russian forces are using the troops as 'human bait' in their operations. The deployment of North Korean soldiers underscores the ongoing cooperation between Pyongyang and Moscow in the conflict.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International sanctions • 25%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
No significant military developments • 25%
Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
No Change • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
Arms trade agreement • 25%
Deployment of more troops • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%
Weapon modernization • 25%
Economic aid from Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Battlefield experience • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Increased global scrutiny • 25%
Increased regional tension • 25%