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What will be the most significant geopolitical impact of the North Korea-Russia treaty by the end of 2025?
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North Korea•Russia•Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty•Moscow•North Korean•Kim Jong Un•Russian•Vladimir Putin•KCNA•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
Strengthened alliances in Asia • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other geopolitical shifts • 25%
Analysis from credible geopolitical think tanks or news agencies
Story
North Korea and Russia's Strategic Partnership Treaty Takes Effect, Solidifying Indefinite Military Alliance
Dec 5, 2024, 01:48 AM
North Korea and Russia have announced that their Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty has come into force on December 4, 2024, following the exchange of ratification documents in Moscow. Signed by North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Russian President Vladimir Putin in June, the indefinite treaty solidifies the military alliance between the two countries. Reported by North Korea's state news agency KCNA, the agreement includes mutual defense obligations and is expected to deepen military cooperation amid Russia's ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
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No significant geopolitical changes • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
Increased tensions in East Asia • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased global scrutiny • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased regional tension • 25%
Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations in the region • 25%
No significant change in regional security • 25%
Increased military tensions in the region • 25%
Escalation leading to a military conflict • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Improved relations with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations with China • 25%
Deteriorated relations with South Korea • 25%
Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
No significant military developments • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
No impact on conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Moderate impact on conflict • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military exercises by opposing countries • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Japan strengthens its defense measures • 25%
China supports the pact • 25%
United States issues new sanctions • 25%
South Korea increases military readiness • 25%