Market
What will be the impact of U.S. policy changes on Panama Canal operations by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Christmas Day•Kevin Marino Cabrera•United States•Panama•Trump•America First•Cabrera•Panama Canal•Florida
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased U.S. influence • 25%
Decreased U.S. influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Reports from the Panama Canal Authority or international trade publications
Story
On Christmas, Trump Names Cuban-American Kevin Cabrera Ambassador to Panama Amid Canal 'Ripping Us Off' Claims
Dec 26, 2024, 12:41 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced on Christmas Day the nomination of Kevin Marino Cabrera, a Cuban-American Miami-Dade County Commissioner, to serve as the United States Ambassador to Panama. Described by Trump as a "fierce fighter for America First principles," Cabrera's appointment comes amid escalating tensions over the Panama Canal, with Trump accusing Panama of "ripping us off" and recently suggesting that the U.S. should retake control of the canal. Cabrera, 34, previously managed Trump's 2020 re-election campaign in Florida and was elected to the county commission in 2022. His nomination signals Trump's intent to address issues related to the Panama Canal and assert U.S. interests in the region.
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No change • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Revised toll policies • 25%
Joint management initiative • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Joint operations with another country • 25%
No changes • 25%
Ownership change • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama strengthens control • 25%
No change • 25%
China increases influence • 25%
U.S. increases influence • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Support for U.S. • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%