Market
What change will occur in Panama Canal policies or agreements by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New trade agreement • 25%
Revised toll policies • 25%
Joint management initiative • 25%
No change • 25%
Official U.S. or Panamanian government announcements
Story
Trump Nominates 34-Year-Old Kevin Marino Cabrera as U.S. Ambassador to Panama Amid Canal Controversy
Dec 25, 2024, 10:05 PM
On December 25, 2024, President-elect Donald Trump announced his nomination of Kevin Marino Cabrera as the U.S. Ambassador to Panama. Cabrera, a Miami-Dade County Commissioner, is described by Trump as a "fierce fighter for America First principles." The announcement comes amid tensions regarding the Panama Canal, which Trump has accused Panama of exploiting, claiming the country is "ripping us off on the Panama Canal, far beyond their wildest dreams." Cabrera, who was elected in 2022 and previously ran Trump's Florida 2020 re-election campaign, will take on this role as the U.S. seeks to address issues surrounding the canal's control. The appointment raises questions about who will fill Cabrera's position on the Miami-Dade County Commission.
View original story
Similar markets
Ownership change • 25%
Joint operations with another country • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increased U.S. influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased U.S. influence • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Governance changes • 25%
Other significant impacts • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. increases influence • 25%
Panama strengthens control • 25%
China increases influence • 25%
No change • 25%
