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What will be the impact of Turkey's Aleppo consulate reopening on regional diplomatic relations by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Deteriorated relations with Syria • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with other regional countries • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts or credible media reports
Story
Turkey Reopens Aleppo Consulate, Hoists Turkish Flag After 12-Year Closure
Jan 20, 2025, 09:10 AM
Turkey has reopened its consulate in Aleppo, Syria, after a 12-year closure due to the civil war. The Turkish flag was hoisted at the consulate, marking its return to operation. The reopening was announced by various Turkish media outlets and signifies a resumption of diplomatic activities in the region.
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Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Strengthened Turkey-Syria-Iran alliance • 25%
Increased tension with US • 25%
Improved Turkey-EU relations • 25%
Consulate opens but faces significant operational challenges • 25%
Consulate opens and functions normally • 25%
Consulate does not open • 25%
Consulate opening is delayed • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full normalization • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial normalization • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
No increase or decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%