Market
Impact of Turkey's embassy reopening on regional alliances by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened Turkey-Syria-Iran alliance • 25%
Improved Turkey-EU relations • 25%
Increased tension with US • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts published in reputable international news outlets
Story
Turkey Reopens Damascus Embassy, Appoints Burhan Köroğlu as Temporary Chargé d'Affaires
Dec 12, 2024, 07:34 PM
Turkey has appointed its ambassador to Mauritania, Burhan Köroğlu, as temporary Chargé d'Affaires at its embassy in Damascus, Syria. This move signals the re-opening of Turkey's embassy in Damascus, which had been closed since 2012 during the Syrian civil war. The decision represents a significant step towards normalizing diplomatic relations between Turkey and Syria after years of strained ties.
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Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improved relations with other regional countries • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations with Syria • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Officially recognized improvement • 25%
Turkey's withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Worsening relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official response • 25%
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Successful mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
No increase or decrease • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%