Market
What will be the impact of TikTok's relaunch on the 2025 young Republican vote?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Election results and analysis from major political analysts
Story
Trump Announces TikTok's Return, Citing Impact on Young Republican Vote
Jan 19, 2025, 10:33 PM
President Donald Trump announced at a rally that TikTok is back in operation as of today, part of a joint American venture. Trump stated that his decision to save TikTok was influenced by its role in helping to win the young Republican vote. He also mentioned using TikTok himself as part of his election strategy, referencing a person he called 'TikTok Jack' involved in the venture.
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Similar markets
Rise of a new social media platform • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Shift to Twitter/X • 25%
Increase in Facebook/Instagram usage • 25%
Seen as neutral • 25%
Seen as pro-U.S. • 25%
Seen as pro-China • 25%
Seen as pro-Palestine • 25%
Neutral impact • 34%
Negative impact • 33%
Positive impact • 33%
Data not available • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Moderate decrease (25-50%) • 25%
Minor decrease (<25%) • 25%
Significant decrease (>50%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Majority oppose ban • 25%
Majority support ban • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase • 25%