Market
How will TikTok's content policy change in the US by end of Q2 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
More restrictive • 25%
Less restrictive • 25%
No change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or major news outlets
Story
Trump Announces TikTok's Return, Citing Impact on Young Republican Vote
Jan 19, 2025, 10:33 PM
President Donald Trump announced at a rally that TikTok is back in operation as of today, part of a joint American venture. Trump stated that his decision to save TikTok was influenced by its role in helping to win the young Republican vote. He also mentioned using TikTok himself as part of his election strategy, referencing a person he called 'TikTok Jack' involved in the venture.
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Current policies maintained • 25%
Stricter ad policies implemented • 25%
Policies relaxed • 25%
Ban on political ads • 25%
Other • 25%
Regulation changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
User Interface Overhaul • 25%
Security Enhancements • 25%
Content Moderation Changes • 25%
No Changes Announced • 25%
Operations continue without change • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Operations continue with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
Significant operational changes • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy is relaxed • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Increase data privacy measures • 25%
Relax data privacy measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Other status • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%