Market
What will be the public perception of TikTok's role in the 2024 election by March 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive impact • 33%
Negative impact • 33%
Neutral impact • 34%
Public opinion polls or media analysis reports
Story
Trump Expresses Support for TikTok, Won Youth by 34 Points, Signals Review of Ban Set for January 19
Dec 16, 2024, 05:19 PM
President-elect Donald Trump expressed a favorable view of TikTok, stating, "I have a warm spot in my heart for TikTok," during a recent press interaction. He indicated that he would consider reviewing a potential ban on the app, which is set to take effect on January 19, 2024. Trump attributed part of his electoral success to TikTok, claiming he won the youth vote by 34 percentage points and suggesting that the platform played a role in engaging younger voters. His comments mark a notable shift from his previous hard-line stance against the app during his presidency, when concerns about its Chinese ownership were prevalent. The odds of a TikTok ban occurring before May 2024 have reportedly decreased to 38% following his remarks, reflecting a potential change in policy direction under his administration.
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Seen as pro-China • 25%
Seen as neutral • 25%
Seen as pro-Palestine • 25%
Seen as pro-U.S. • 25%
Majority supports ban • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority opposes ban • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More positive • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More negative • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Polarized • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased negative perception • 25%
Decreased negative perception • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
More negative • 25%
More positive • 25%
No change • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
No clear consensus • 25%
Evenly split opinions • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Minimal public reaction • 25%
Public largely opposes decision • 25%
Mixed public reaction • 25%
Public largely supports decision • 25%
Legal actions or lawsuits • 25%
Protests or public demonstrations • 25%
Online campaigns or petitions • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%