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What will be the change in U.S. foreign policy towards OPEC by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government statements and policy documents
Story
Trump, Speaking at Davos, Urges OPEC to Lower Oil Prices to End Ukraine War
Jan 23, 2025, 04:33 PM
President Donald Trump, speaking remotely at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, announced that he will ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to lower oil prices, expressing surprise that they had not done so before the U.S. elections. Trump suggested that reducing oil prices, currently around $80 per barrel, could immediately end the war between Russia and Ukraine by limiting Russia's ability to finance its military operations. Following his remarks, WTI oil prices fell.
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Increase in fossil fuel focus • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Balanced approach • 25%
Increase in clean energy focus • 25%
Increase imports from Canada • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase imports from Africa • 25%
Increase imports from Middle East • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
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Continuation of current policy • 25%
Complete policy overhaul • 25%
Increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Initiation of military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Reduced sanctions • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Military action • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Israel-Palestine peace process • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Continued non-involvement • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No change • 25%
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Improved relations • 25%
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Other • 25%
Remain within 10% range • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%