Market
Outcome of Iran's nuclear compliance review by IAEA by September 30, 2025?
3
Iran•United Nations Security Council•UN•European•France•Germany•UK•Foreign Ministry•International Atomic Energy Agency•IAEA
Resolution / Starting Odds
Compliant • 25%
Non-compliant • 25%
Partially compliant • 25%
Review postponed • 25%
IAEA reports and public statements
Story
Iran Warns UN of Firm Response to Potential 'Snapback' Trigger by European Troika
Dec 10, 2024, 05:40 AM
Iran has warned the United Nations Security Council and the UN Secretary-General that any threat to trigger the 'snapback' mechanism, which could reinstate UN sanctions, will be met with a firm response. This warning comes in response to accusations by the European troika (France, Germany, and the UK) that Iran is not complying with its commitments under the nuclear deal. Iran's Foreign Ministry has emphasized that the country is pursuing its civilian nuclear program under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and remains prepared to continue cooperation despite what it describes as unconstructive measures by other parties.
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Similar markets
Non-compliance • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Withdrawal from agreements • 25%
Iran partially compliant • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Iran non-compliant • 25%
Iran in compliance • 25%
Progress accelerated • 25%
Progress unchanged • 25%
Progress halted • 25%
Progress slowed • 25%
Formal resolution passed • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Informal statement issued • 25%
Non-Compliance • 25%
Sanctions Reinstated • 25%
Full Compliance • 25%
Partial Compliance • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Resolved through military intervention • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved through diplomacy • 25%
Resolved through sanctions • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
