Market
What will be Congress's response to the military policy orders by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legislation introduced to counter orders • 25%
Legislation introduced to support orders • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Congressional records or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Signs Five Orders Banning Trans Troops, Directs 'Iron Dome' for Military
Jan 27, 2025, 11:47 PM
President Donald Trump has signed five executive orders on Monday that ban transgender individuals from serving in the U.S. military and eliminate Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion programs within the armed forces. The orders direct Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to begin construction of an 'Iron Dome' missile defense system for the country and to end Critical Race Theory training for service members. The actions also reinstate military personnel who were discharged for refusing COVID-19 vaccine mandates. This move reverses the 2016 policy enacted under President Barack Obama that allowed transgender troops to serve openly.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant changes • 25%
Decreased military budget • 25%
Increased military budget • 25%
Introduction of new DEI initiatives • 25%
Pass legislation reversing policy • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Introduce but not pass legislation • 25%
Condemnation by Democrats only • 25%
No response • 25%
Legislative action to counter orders • 25%
Condemnation by both parties • 25%
Strong Opposition • 25%
Mixed Response • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Strong Support • 25%
Positive • 33%
Negative • 33%
Neutral • 34%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
No Major Response • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemn • 25%
No response • 25%
All branches comply • 25%
Some branches comply • 25%
Policy revised • 25%
No branches comply • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No official response • 25%
All branches comply • 25%
No branches comply • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Some branches comply • 25%