Market
What legislative actions will be taken regarding military policy by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military budget • 25%
Decreased military budget • 25%
Introduction of new DEI initiatives • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Congressional records or news reports on new legislation
Story
Senate Passes $895B Defense Bill with Troop Pay Raise, Transgender Care Ban for Minors, Sends to Biden
Dec 18, 2024, 03:44 PM
The US Senate has passed an $895 billion National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) with a strong bipartisan vote of 85-14, sending the bill to President Joe Biden for his signature. The legislation includes the largest troop pay raise in decades, providing a 14.5% increase for junior enlisted service members and 4.5% for others, and funds military housing. The bill also removes Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) initiatives and bans taxpayer-funded transgender surgeries, including gender-affirming care for military dependents under 18. The passage of the NDAA marks the 64th consecutive year that Congress has approved this essential defense policy legislation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased troop presence • 25%
Other changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Enhanced evacuation protocols • 25%
Provision is removed • 25%
Provision is overturned by court • 25%
Provision remains unchanged • 25%
Provision is amended • 25%
Yes, nationwide • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, in select states • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No legislative action taken • 25%
New oversight laws proposed • 25%
Other legislative actions • 25%
Increased funding for oversight agencies • 25%
Provision is repealed • 25%
Provision remains unchanged • 25%
Provision is struck down by court • 25%
Provision is amended • 25%
Majority positive reactions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority negative reactions • 25%
No significant reactions • 25%