Market
What will be the level of EU military support to Ukraine by March 2025?
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European Union•Ukraine•United States•Donald Trump•EU•Kaja Kallas•US•Germany•Trump•Kallas•Kyiv•America•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased significantly • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Official EU reports or credible news sources
Story
EU Ready to Lead Ukraine Support, Including Military, if US Steps Back Before Trump's Inauguration
Jan 9, 2025, 03:09 PM
The European Union is prepared to take the lead in supporting Ukraine, including military support, if the United States, under President-elect Donald Trump, decides to step back from its current level of support. This statement was made by the EU's foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, as she headed to a meeting of countries supporting Ukraine at a US base in Germany, 11 days before Trump's inauguration. Kallas expressed hope that the US would continue its backing of Kyiv, emphasizing that it is not in America's interest for Russia to become the strongest force in the world. She cautioned against premature speculation about future US support, noting that the new leadership would likely see the broader implications of their decisions.
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High Support • 33%
Moderate Support • 33%
Low Support • 34%
Increased support • 25%
No support • 25%
Reduced support • 25%
Maintained current level • 25%
Discontinued • 25%
Maintained at £3 billion annually • 25%
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Decreased from current levels • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
No support • 25%
Same level of support • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
No support • 25%
Strong support • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Limited support • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Missile Defense Systems • 25%
Other • 25%
Additional Fighter Jets • 25%
Armored Vehicles • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
End support • 25%
Military deployment • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%