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What changes in Syrian governance or policies will occur due to the French mission by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant policy shifts • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
No policy changes • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official Syrian government announcements
Story
French Diplomatic Mission of Four Diplomats to Damascus on December 17, 2024, to Reestablish Contact and Assess Local Needs
Dec 15, 2024, 01:22 PM
A French diplomatic mission is scheduled to visit Damascus, Syria, on Tuesday, December 17, 2024, as confirmed by acting Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot. The mission aims to reestablish contact with the new Syrian government led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) following the fall of Bashar al-Assad. Barrot stated that the delegation will consist of four diplomats and will focus on establishing initial contacts, assessing the needs of the local population, and reclaiming French assets in the region. This visit marks a significant step in France's diplomatic engagement with Syria.
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Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
Stronger diplomatic ties • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increased economic investment • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Constitutional reforms • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Military coup • 25%
New Democratic government • 25%
Other • 25%
Pro-Iranian leadership • 25%
Military Junta • 25%