Who will control military power in Syria by June 30, 2025?
Government control • 25%
Rebel influence remains • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Other factions emerge • 25%
Analyses from international relations experts, government statements, and news reports
Syria's New Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Agrees to Merge Armed Groups Under Defense Ministry to Unify Military
Dec 24, 2024, 12:44 PM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria's new de facto leader, has reached an agreement with rebel faction leaders to dissolve all armed groups and merge them under the Ministry of Defense. The decision was made during a meeting in Damascus between Al-Sharaa and representatives of various revolutionary factions, including those that overthrew the Ba'ath regime. Al-Sharaa stated, 'In the coming days, the Ministry of Defense will be announced, and a committee of senior military officials will be formed to establish the future army of Syria. After that, the groups will dissolve themselves.' The new administration announced that the factions will integrate into the regular defense forces, aiming to unify the military under the government. The move is seen as a step toward consolidating power and rebuilding Syria's military structure following years of conflict.
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Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Other leadership structure • 25%
New coalition government • 25%
HTS-led government • 25%
Military-led government • 25%
HTS • 25%
Foreign Powers • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
Assad Loyalists • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other • 25%
A UN Transitional Authority • 25%
A New Inclusive Government • 25%
Bashar al-Assad's Government • 25%
Republican Guard leadership • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Maher al-Assad takes control • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Government-aligned forces • 25%
Opposition groups • 25%
International forces • 25%
Successful Transition to Transitional Government • 25%
Return to Previous Government Structure • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Continued Conflict and Instability • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
No clear dominant power • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
New Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Interim government • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Logistical issues • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Security threats • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%