Market
What will be the international diplomatic response to the Syrian conflict by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New sanctions on Syria • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention by another country • 25%
Statements from the United Nations or major international diplomatic summits
Story
Trump Urges U.S. to Stay Out of Syria Amid Unprecedented Rebel Offensive on Damascus
Dec 7, 2024, 03:50 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has declared that the United States should not get involved in the escalating conflict in Syria, where opposition fighters, in an unprecedented move, have taken control of several cities and are advancing towards Damascus in a highly coordinated offensive to potentially overthrow President Bashar al-Assad. Trump emphasized that "Syria is a mess, but it is not our friend," stressing that "this is not our fight" and urging the U.S. to "let it play out" and "do not get involved." He also noted that Russia, due to heavy losses in Ukraine, cannot stop this action.
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Increased sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Support for opposition • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for ceasefire/negotiation • 25%
Condemnation of offensive • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Calls for intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions or criticism • 25%
Increased support for Syrian government • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
UN sanctions imposed • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant change in international response • 25%
Limited international intervention • 25%
Significant increase in humanitarian aid • 25%
New refugee crisis in neighboring countries • 25%
UN imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
US military intervention • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%