Market
What actions will TikTok take in response to EU's data order by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Official statements from TikTok or EU Commission
Story
EU Puts TikTok on Watch Over Romanian Election Security, Orders Data Preservation Until March 2025
Dec 5, 2024, 01:15 PM
The European Union has issued a retention order to TikTok under the Digital Services Act, requiring the platform to preserve all data related to the Romanian elections and other matters until March 31, 2025. The European Commission's move comes amid concerns over potential Russian interference that may have perverted the presidential election, according to declassified information. TikTok is now mandated to freeze and maintain data that could relate to actual or foreseeable systemic risks to electoral processes and civic discourse within the EU. The platform has been put on watch over election security, and there are concerns about potential data loss from November 24 until now.
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Concerns partially resolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Concerns fully resolved • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
Ban from EU market • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
No changes • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
No major action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Increase data privacy measures • 25%
Relax data privacy measures • 25%
Other • 25%