Market
Will evidence of Russian interference in Romanian elections be found by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
EU Commission or Romanian government reports
Story
EU Puts TikTok on Watch Over Romanian Election Security, Orders Data Preservation Until March 2025
Dec 5, 2024, 01:15 PM
The European Union has issued a retention order to TikTok under the Digital Services Act, requiring the platform to preserve all data related to the Romanian elections and other matters until March 31, 2025. The European Commission's move comes amid concerns over potential Russian interference that may have perverted the presidential election, according to declassified information. TikTok is now mandated to freeze and maintain data that could relate to actual or foreseeable systemic risks to electoral processes and civic discourse within the EU. The platform has been put on watch over election security, and there are concerns about potential data loss from November 24 until now.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia confirmed as interfering • 25%
No interference confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Another state confirmed as interfering • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 34%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 33%
TikTok found culpable • 33%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other resolution • 25%
Election rerun with same candidates • 25%
Election rerun with new candidates • 25%
Election not rerun • 25%