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What actions will the US government take in response to the CIA's COVID-19 lab origin assessment by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official US government announcements or policy changes
Story
CIA Under John Ratcliffe Assesses COVID-19 Likely From Chinese Lab, With Low Confidence
Jan 26, 2025, 03:44 PM
The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has released an assessment indicating that the COVID-19 virus most likely originated from a laboratory in China, though it expresses low confidence in this conclusion. The report, which was completed under the Biden administration and declassified by newly appointed CIA Director John Ratcliffe, suggests that a lab-related origin is more probable than a natural one. However, the agency acknowledges that the evidence supporting this assessment is deficient, inconclusive, or contradictory. The assessment does not rely on new intelligence but rather on a reevaluation of existing data regarding the virus's spread, its scientific properties, and the conditions in Chinese labs. The release of this report has reignited debates about the origins of the virus, with some U.S. lawmakers calling for China to be held accountable for the global impact of the pandemic.
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No Action • 25%
Policy Change • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased funding for pandemic research • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
No specific actions • 25%
New regulations on research funding • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Public inquiry or hearings • 25%
International investigation support • 25%
No further action • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Endorsed • 25%
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No report issued • 25%
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Inconclusive • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
No public conclusion • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Lab leak theory confirmed • 25%
Indeterminate findings • 25%
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No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Counter-accusations • 25%
Denial and condemnation • 25%
Acceptance and cooperation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural Origins • 25%