Market
Main U.S. government action in response to COVID-19 origin report by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New regulations on research funding • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
Public inquiry or hearings • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. government announcements and policy changes
Story
Congressional Report: COVID-19 Likely Originated from US-Funded Gain-of-Function Research in Wuhan Lab
Dec 2, 2024, 06:45 PM
A two-year congressional investigation has concluded that the COVID-19 pandemic most likely originated from a lab leak at a Wuhan laboratory in China. The lab was reportedly conducting gain-of-function research on bat coronaviruses, funded in part by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) until 2022. The investigation highlights that U.S. taxpayers indirectly financed this research, which involved intentionally manipulating viruses. The report also alleges efforts by key figures, including Anthony Fauci, to suppress information and obstruct investigations into the origins of COVID-19. It further notes that the research was subcontracted to China to bypass an Obama-era moratorium on gain-of-function studies.
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Similar markets
Launch new investigation • 25%
Issue public statement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Implement policy changes • 25%
No official response • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
Addresses censorship accusations • 25%
Rejects lab leak theory • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on China • 25%
Calls for international investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Launch a new investigation • 25%
Pass legislation to prevent future issues • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wuhan Institute of Virology • 25%
No specific accountability • 25%
NIH • 25%
EcoHealth Alliance • 25%
Official recognition of lab leak theory • 25%
Policy changes regarding NIH research funding • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%
Funding cuts • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
No investigation • 25%
The White House • 25%
Congress • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Rejection • 25%
No comment • 25%
Denial • 25%
Acceptance • 25%