Market
What action will the U.S. take against Iran's nuclear program by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Action • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government and credible news reports
Story
President-elect Trump Weighs Military Options Against Iran's Nuclear Program, Including Airstrikes, Reports Wall Street Journal
Dec 13, 2024, 04:34 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is actively considering military options to prevent Iran from advancing its nuclear weapons program. Reports indicate that Trump's team is weighing the possibility of preemptive airstrikes as part of a broader strategy, moving away from traditional diplomatic and economic measures. Trump's advisors are reportedly concerned that existing economic pressures may not be sufficient to contain Tehran's ambitions. This potential shift in U.S. foreign policy comes amid increasing tensions in the region, with Trump acknowledging the unpredictable nature of international conflicts. The Wall Street Journal has cited sources indicating that Trump's administration is exploring aggressive actions in response to Iran's nuclear developments.
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Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
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Other • 25%
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United Nations • 25%
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United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
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Status Quo • 25%
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Maintain current levels • 25%
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Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Iran complies with nuclear deal terms • 25%
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Military intervention occurs • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
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Military strike • 25%
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Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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